Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between Ground Zero and Abyssal in the ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero" if Ground Zero win the match against Abyssal. This market will resolve to "Abyssal" if Abyssal win the match against Ground Zero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Abyssal (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Ground Zero and Abyssal will contest the lower bracket final of ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 in Counter-Strike 2, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The match is scheduled for 2 May at 05:00 ET, formatted as a best-of-three series. The current order book on Polymarket shows 100% implied probability for Ground Zero, indicating the market has priced them as heavy favourites to progress. This probability reflects the aggregate sentiment of traders across the platform's liquidity pools.
The Oceania region's competitive Counter-Strike landscape has historically favoured established rosters with consistent LAN experience. Ground Zero and Abyssal both operate within the ESL Challenger ecosystem, where roster stability and recent tournament results typically correlate with match outcomes. Lower bracket finals in single-elimination formats carry high stakes; the loser is eliminated entirely, which can influence team performance and preparation intensity. Recent ESL Challenger League results from the region show Ground Zero maintaining stronger placements in online qualifiers, though Abyssal has demonstrated capability to upset higher-seeded opponents in specific map pools.
Traders should monitor team roster changes or player availability announcements in the days preceding the match, as substitutions can materially shift competitive balance. The settlement window closes 7 days post-scheduled date, meaning any significant delay beyond 9 May would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Technical issues or scheduling conflicts within ESL's infrastructure remain possible catalysts, though rare. Map veto announcements and recent scrim results, if publicly disclosed, may provide additional information for reassessing the current 100% pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/yapmasters69. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/yapmasters69. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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