Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Favbet and Oxuji Esports in the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Favbet" if Favbet win the match against Oxuji Esports. This market will resolve to "Oxuji Esports" if Oxuji Esports win the match against Favbet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Favbet and Oxuji Esports are scheduled to contest a Counter-Strike best-of-three match on 10 May at 10:00 AM ET as part of the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Favbet's victory, indicating near-total consensus among traders. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a decisive competitive advantage or when liquidity remains thin enough that early positioning dominates price discovery.
CCT Europe tournaments have historically featured established organisations competing against emerging rosters, with favoured teams regularly priced at 90%+ when facing lower-ranked opponents. Oxuji Esports' competitive history and recent results relative to Favbet's roster strength will determine whether the current pricing reflects genuine skill disparity or market inefficiency. Group stage matches in CCT events occasionally produce upsets when newer teams exploit map selection or tactical preparation, though such outcomes remain statistical outliers.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes through official CCT channels and team social media in the days preceding the match. Map pool announcements and recent scrim results, where available, can shift expectations materially. The settlement window closes at 20:10 UTC on 10 May, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion; any cancellation or unresolved status beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current liquidity constraints appear to be anchoring the probability at extremes rather than reflecting granular competitive assessment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$93K in lifetime turnover and $280K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $93K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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