Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 2 match between Donstu Esports and Fire Flux Esports in the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 1 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Donstu Esports" if Donstu Esports win the match against Fire Flux Esports. This market will resolve to "Fire Flux Esports" if Fire Flux Esports win the match against Donstu Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Donstu Esports face Fire Flux Esports in an upper bracket round two match of the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs, a best-of-three contest scheduled for 1 June at 1:30PM ET. The winner advances further in the tournament bracket whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability for Donstu victory, suggesting either extreme confidence in Fire Flux or minimal trading activity establishing a price discovery mechanism at this early stage.
ESEA Advanced Europe represents the second tier of competitive Counter-Strike in Europe, below the Pro League but above regional circuits. Historical context matters here: teams at this level exhibit significant variance in performance, with roster changes, bootcamp preparation, and recent LAN experience heavily influencing outcomes. Fire Flux's current market pricing reflects either recent form advantages, head-to-head records, or simply the absence of meaningful counter-bids on the order book. Without established trading volume, the 0% probability may represent illiquidity rather than genuine consensus.
Key variables for traders include roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions, which ESEA typically announces days before matches. The settlement window closes 2 June at 23:15 UTC, providing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches. Monitor ESEA's official schedule and both organisations' social media for withdrawal announcements or technical issues that could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Recent roster stability and recent online qualifier results would provide concrete data points for reassessing the current probability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/donstu_esports. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $669K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/donstu_esports. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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