Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Crashers and MIBR Academy in the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Crashers" if Crashers win the match against MIBR Academy. This market will resolve to "MIBR Academy" if MIBR Academy win the match against Crashers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map 1 Winner | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Crashers (+1.5) | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Crashers face MIBR Academy in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, scheduled for 13 May at 3:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Crashers' victory at 39%, reflecting modest confidence in the challenger despite MIBR Academy's institutional backing as the academy roster of a historically prominent organisation. The 61% implied probability for MIBR Academy suggests market participants view the academy side as favoured, though the spread indicates meaningful uncertainty about the outcome.
South American Counter-Strike academy rosters have shown variable competitive performance relative to their parent organisations' prestige. MIBR Academy benefits from infrastructure and coaching resources, yet academy teams frequently underperform expectations when facing independent rosters with cohesive practice regimens. Crashers' recent form and map pool composition will determine whether the current probability adequately reflects their competitive standing. Historical precedent suggests academy sides in regional competitions carry inherent structural advantages that markets typically price in, though execution gaps remain common.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes prior to the 13 May fixture. Fixture delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 settlement, creating tail risk for positions held through the scheduled window. Recent CCT South America fixtures have proceeded on schedule, though technical issues affecting broadcast or server stability could impact match completion. Map selection announcements, if released beforehand, would provide concrete data for reassessing the current probability before match start.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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