Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Chicken Coop Esports and Marsborne in the FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 31 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Chicken Coop Esports" if Chicken Coop Esports win the match against Marsborne. This market will resolve to "Marsborne" if Marsborne win the match against Chicken Coop Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: CCE (-2.5) vs Marsborne (+2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: CCE (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs grand final will pit Chicken Coop Esports against Marsborne in a best-of-five Counter-Strike match scheduled for 31 May at 20:30 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Chicken Coop Esports, indicating that traders are pricing in an overwhelming likelihood of a Marsborne victory. This extreme skew suggests either substantial pre-match intelligence regarding team form, roster changes, or recent head-to-head results favouring Marsborne, or minimal liquidity in the order book at present.
Counter-Strike grand finals typically see significant probability shifts in the final 48 hours before play, particularly if either team announces roster adjustments, coaching changes, or if recent warm-up matches reveal unexpected tactical developments. The settlement window closes 7 June, allowing for a week-long buffer should the match face delays beyond the scheduled date. Traders should monitor official FRAG TAP communications and team social media for any announcements regarding player availability or match postponements, as the 50-50 tie resolution clause creates material risk if the match is cancelled outright or extends beyond the seven-day grace period without completion.
The extreme probability skew warrants scrutiny of whether the current pricing reflects genuine competitive imbalance or simply thin initial liquidity. As the match approaches and additional volume enters the market, the order book may reveal more balanced pricing if Chicken Coop Esports possesses competitive strengths not yet reflected in early trading.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/fragadelphia. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO5) - FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/fragadelphia. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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