Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Brute and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 7 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Brute" if Brute win the match against NEW VISION. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against Brute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Brute and NEW VISION will contest the upper bracket semifinal of the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 7 May at 9:45AM ET. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. The current 100% implied probability for Brute reflects either substantial pre-match confidence in their capabilities or limited liquidity in the market, both of which warrant scrutiny given the competitive nature of regional qualifying tournaments.
CCT Europe Challengers events typically feature closely matched teams from the secondary European circuit, where upsets occur regularly and form fluctuates week to week. Historical resolution data from similar regional playoffs shows that matches between teams of comparable ranking frequently produce unexpected results, with lower-seeded or less-favoured sides winning approximately 20–30% of the time. The extreme probability skew here suggests either Brute possess a documented recent advantage (recent tournament wins, roster stability, head-to-head record) or the market has insufficient participation to reflect genuine uncertainty.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding match confirmation, any last-minute roster changes, or technical issues that might delay proceedings beyond the 7-day grace period. Fixture postponements in regional esports are not uncommon due to player availability or platform issues. The settlement window closes 7 May at 19:55 UTC, providing a hard deadline; any match not completed by then with a decisive result triggers the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Brute vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$72K in lifetime turnover and $2.1M of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $72K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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