Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Bounty Hunters Esports and METANOIA WOLVES in the Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 3 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bounty Hunters Esports" if Bounty Hunters Esports win the match against METANOIA WOLVES. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES win the match against Bounty Hunters Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Bounty Hunters Esports face METANOIA WOLVES in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage, scheduled for 3 May at 3:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Bounty Hunters, indicating the market has priced in an overwhelming expectation of their victory. This probability formation typically emerges from accumulated trading activity and reflects the collective assessment of relative team strength, recent form, and head-to-head dynamics among active traders on the platform.
Brazilian Counter-Strike competitive depth has historically produced unpredictable group-stage outcomes, particularly when roster changes or preparation gaps exist between established organisations and emerging squads. METANOIA WOLVES' recent tournament appearances and win rates against comparable opposition provide the baseline for assessing whether the current 100% probability adequately reflects match uncertainty. Similar group-stage matches in regional tournaments have occasionally seen favourites underperform when facing motivated challengers with specific tactical preparation.
Traders should monitor official Odyssey Cup communications for any schedule changes, player availability announcements, or roster confirmations closer to the 3 May fixture. The settlement window extends to 5 May at 01:00:00Z, allowing a two-day buffer for match completion. Any delays beyond 7 days without a determined winner trigger a 50-50 resolution. Current market depth and order book positioning will shift materially if either team announces significant roster adjustments or if pre-match analysis surfaces tactical advantages favouring METANOIA WOLVES.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$16K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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