Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Bounty Hunters Esports and MIBR fe in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bounty Hunters Esports" if Bounty Hunters Esports win the match against MIBR fe. This market will resolve to "MIBR fe" if MIBR fe win the match against Bounty Hunters Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 91% YES | 9% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 89% YES | 12% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 86% YES | 14% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs MIBR fe (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Bounty Hunters Esports face MIBR fe in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, scheduled for 12 May at 7:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 91% implied probability favouring Bounty Hunters, suggesting the market perceives a substantial skill differential between the two rosters. This probability has formed through trading activity across the book's depth, with buyers at higher prices indicating confidence in the favourite's chances.
Bounty Hunters Esports has established itself as a competitive force in North American female Counter-Strike, whilst MIBR fe represents Brazil's strongest female contingent. Historical matchups between North American and Brazilian female teams in recent tournaments show inconsistent outcomes, though Bounty Hunters' recent placements in tier-one qualifiers have been stronger. The 91% probability suggests the market is pricing in Bounty Hunters' demonstrated consistency against comparable opposition, though the gap between the two sides remains narrower than the odds might indicate based on previous head-to-head results.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes before the 12 May fixture, as female Counter-Strike rosters occasionally experience disruptions. The settlement window extends to 13 May at 05:00 UTC, providing a one-day buffer for match completion. Any postponement beyond seven days from the scheduled date triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail risk that should be factored into position sizing. Recent tournament scheduling from ESL and BLAST has generally adhered to published timelines, reducing delay probability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR fe (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$107 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $107 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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