Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 3DMAX and magic in the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 27 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against 3DMAX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 49% YES | 51% NO |
The Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs features a Counter-Strike upper bracket quarterfinal between 3DMAX and magic on 27 May at 06:00 ET. This best-of-three match determines advancement in a competitive tournament structure where upper bracket positioning carries significant implications for playoff seeding. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 56% implied probability for 3DMAX victory, suggesting modest favouring of the squad but with material uncertainty priced in.
3DMAX has established itself as a consistent tier-one European roster with recent performances at major LANs, whilst magic represents a competitive challenger team. Historical precedent in Stake Ranked tournaments shows that seeding and bracket position often correlate with match outcomes, though upsets occur regularly enough that favourites at 56% carry meaningful risk. Recent roster stability and bootcamp preparation typically influence performance more than raw ranking alone in these mid-tier playoff structures.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability or last-minute roster changes before the 27 May settlement window closes. Schedule adherence matters considerably—the market includes a 7-day delay clause, meaning postponements beyond that threshold trigger a 50-50 resolution. Technical issues or forfeiture conditions also carry non-trivial probability given online competitive infrastructure dependencies. Current pricing suggests the market has incorporated baseline expectations for both teams' recent form, though late-breaking roster news or scrim results could shift the order book materially in the final hours before match start.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/starladder. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/starladder. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 27 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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