Trade: Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 2007 and Hashiras in the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D, initially scheduled for May 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "2007" if 2007 win the match against Hashiras. This market will resolve to "Hashiras" if Hashiras win the match against 2007. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $2K
- Total Volume
- —
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- —
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: Hashiras (-1.5) vs 2007 (+1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D will feature a best-of-three Counter-Strike match between 2007 and Hashiras on 14 May at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices 2007's victory at 46 per cent implied probability, suggesting the market views this as a competitive fixture with a slight lean towards Hashiras. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on the scheduled date, allowing approximately 22 hours for the match to conclude before resolution criteria take effect.
Both teams compete within the broader CCT ecosystem, which has established itself as a secondary-tier competitive circuit for European Counter-Strike. Historical precedent from similar play-in stage matches shows that teams entering qualification rounds often carry significant uncertainty around form and roster stability. The 46–54 split reflects genuine competitive balance rather than a dominant favourite, typical of play-in fixtures where seeding advantages are minimal and recent tournament results may not fully capture current team capability.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding any schedule changes, roster confirmations, or technical delays that could trigger the seven-day postponement clause leading to 50–50 resolution. Recent competitive Counter-Strike has seen occasional fixture delays due to player availability or platform issues. Confirmation of final lineups closer to match time and any public statements from either organisation regarding preparation or injury status would constitute material information affecting the probability distribution currently reflected in the order book.
Wikipedia Context
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Counterstrike (2025 film)Counterstrike, also known as Counterattack, is a 2025 Mexican action film directed by Chava Cartas and written by Jose Ruben Escalante Mendez. Starring Luis Alberti, Noe Hernandez, Leonardo Alonso, Luis Curiel, David Leon and Guillermo Nava. It was released worldwide on Netflix on 28 February 2025.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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