Trade: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 100 Thieves and Lavked in the CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Lavked. This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $2K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 71% YES | 29% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 64% YES | 36% NO |
| Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The Counter-Strike Global Offensive match between 100 Thieves and Lavked in the CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs Round of 16 is scheduled for 13 May at 07:00 ET. This best-of-three encounter determines progression in a regional European circuit that feeds into broader competitive CS:GO qualification pathways. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability for 100 Thieves, suggesting the market prices them as clear favourites despite Lavked's participation in the same competitive tier.
100 Thieves maintain a roster with established international experience and consistent placements in tier-one regional events, whilst Lavked represents a secondary-tier European squad. Historical matchups between established North American organisations and emerging European challengers in CCT formats typically favour the former, particularly in best-of-three formats where preparation depth and map pool consistency compound advantages. The 72% probability aligns with conventional expectations for such pairings, though it leaves meaningful upside for Lavked backers if preparation gaps narrow or tactical innovation surfaces.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmations through official CCT Europe communications and team roster announcements in the days preceding the match. Technical delays or scheduling conflicts have occasionally affected CCT events; the settlement window extends seven days, providing buffer for rescheduling. Any last-minute roster changes, particularly affecting in-game leaders or primary riflers, could shift the probability meaningfully. Fixture confirmation typically arrives 48–72 hours before scheduled play.
Wikipedia Context
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Counter-Strike (video game)Counter-Strike is a 2000 tactical first-person shooter game developed by Valve Corporation and published by Sierra Studios. It is the first installment in the Counter-Strike series.
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Counterstrike (1990 TV series)Counterstrike is a Canadian-French crime-fighting, espionage, action-adventure television series. The series premiered in Canada on CTV, in France on TF1, and in the United States on the USA Network, on July 1, 1990. It ran for three seasons, airing 66 hour-long episodes in total.
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Counterstrike (2025 film)Counterstrike, also known as Counterattack, is a 2025 Mexican action film directed by Chava Cartas and written by Jose Ruben Escalante Mendez. Starring Luis Alberti, Noe Hernandez, Leonardo Alonso, Luis Curiel, David Leon and Guillermo Nava. It was released worldwide on Netflix on 28 February 2025.
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Counterstrike (1969 TV series)
Counterstrike is a British science fiction television series produced by the BBC in 1969. It starred Jon Finch as an alien living on Earth posing as a journalist named Simon King. As King, he attempts to prevent an alien invasion.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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