Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Egypt Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Egypt Premier League per the rules of Egypt Premier League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Zamalek | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Al Ahly | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Al Masry | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wadi Degla | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ENPPI | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| National Bank | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Modern Sport | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Al Ittihad | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Egypt Premier League season runs through May 2026, with the champion determined by final league standings. The current 52% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding which club will secure the title. This probability emerges from live trading activity and represents the marginal price at which buyers and sellers are meeting on the order book today.
Historical context matters considerably here. Al Ahly and Zamalek have dominated Egyptian football for decades, combining for the vast majority of league titles. However, recent seasons have seen increased competition from clubs like Pyramids FC and ENPPI, which have invested substantially in player recruitment and infrastructure. The 52% probability suggests traders are pricing in a competitive field rather than backing a single dominant favourite, reflecting the league's evolving competitive balance over the past three seasons.
Key catalysts to monitor include the January transfer window, which typically reshapes squad composition and can significantly alter title prospects. Fixture congestion during the African Champions League campaign may also impact domestic performance for clubs competing on both fronts. Injury updates to key players, managerial changes, and any administrative decisions by the Egyptian Football Association regarding league format or scheduling could shift trader positioning. Recent reporting from local Egyptian sports outlets and official league announcements will provide material information as the season progresses toward its May 2026 conclusion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/egypt-premier-league-3bbad20c1f.jpg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Egypt Premier League: Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $37 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for egypt premier league contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $854 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/egypt-premier-league-3bbad20c1f.jpg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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