Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves mega creeps (destroying all three lanes of barracks) in any match at BLAST Slam VII between market creation and the conclusion of the tournament, currently scheduled to conclude on June 7th, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not concluded within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, BLAST (https://blast.tv/dota/tournaments/blast-slam-vii).
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII? | 95% YES | 5% NO |
BLAST Slam VII, scheduled to conclude on 7 June 2026, will feature top-tier Dota 2 teams competing across multiple matches. The market resolves to Yes if any team achieves mega creeps—the destruction of all three lanes of barracks—during the tournament. The current order book on Polymarket implies a 77% probability of this outcome occurring, reflecting trader conviction that at least one match will reach this late-game state.
Mega creeps represent an advanced game state typically reached only in prolonged, competitive matches where one team has secured a decisive advantage but hasn't yet closed out the game. Historical Dota 2 tournaments show mega creeps occur sporadically; they're more common in longer series formats and less frequent in single-elimination brackets with time constraints. The International and similar tier-one events see mega creeps in roughly 15–25% of matches, though this varies significantly based on patch strength, team playstyles, and tournament format. The 77% probability suggests traders expect BLAST Slam VII to feature sufficiently extended games or a large enough match volume that the threshold is likely crossed.
Traders should monitor the tournament format announcement and group stage scheduling, as these directly influence match duration and likelihood of teams reaching ultra-late-game scenarios. Patch notes released before the event will shape team aggression and game pacing. The specific teams invited and their historical tendencies towards extended games—particularly whether scaling-focused lineups are prevalent—will inform whether games stall into the mega creeps territory. Any format changes or schedule adjustments from BLAST should be tracked closely, as condensed brackets reduce the probability of extended matches.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$545 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for dota2 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $545 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 95%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: