Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII, currently scheduled for May 26th - June 7th, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a Tournament MVP has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, BLAST (https://blast.tv/dota/tournaments/blast-slam-vii). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/BLAST/Slam/7) may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Player D | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Player E | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Yatoro | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Nisha | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Skiter | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Collapse | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Player C | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| ATF | 43% YES | 57% NO |
BLAST Slam VII is a Dota 2 tournament scheduled for May 26th through June 7th, 2026, with an individual player award for Tournament MVP to be announced by the conclusion. The market currently reflects a 50% implied probability that a specific MVP will be named and officially recognised within the settlement window, with the Polymarket order book pricing this uncertainty at even odds. This baseline suggests meaningful doubt amongst traders regarding either the tournament's completion on schedule or the likelihood of a clear MVP designation.
Historical precedent from major Dota 2 tournaments indicates MVP awards are typically declared, though occasionally delayed or contested depending on tournament format and judging criteria. BLAST's previous Slam iterations have consistently named MVPs, though the specific player selection has sometimes reflected close competition between standout performers. The 50% probability implies traders are pricing in material risk factors: potential tournament postponement, cancellation, or ambiguous voting outcomes that could trigger the "Other" resolution condition.
Key catalysts for movement include official confirmation of the final bracket and participating rosters as May approaches, any schedule adjustments from BLAST's organisers, and clarity on MVP voting methodology. Tournament performance data will become actionable only during the event itself, making pre-tournament information asymmetries the primary driver of current pricing. Traders should monitor Liquipedia and BLAST's official channels for roster confirmations and format details, as these determine both tournament viability and the likelihood of a decisive MVP outcome.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "BLAST Slam VII: Tournament MVP" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$37 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for dota2 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $37 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: