Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-04-30 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bangladesh will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Bangladesh. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Sri Lanka.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| BGD | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| LKA | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
A women's T20 match between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka is scheduled for 30 April 2026, with this market settling on which team produces the match's highest individual batter. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 0% implied probability for Bangladesh, indicating traders are pricing near-certainty that a Sri Lankan player will record the top individual score. This extreme positioning suggests either substantial confidence in Sri Lanka's batting depth or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price.
Historical T20 encounters between these sides show Sri Lanka has typically fielded stronger batting lineups, particularly through established players like Chamari Athapaththu and Alyssa Devine, who regularly post match-high scores in regional tournaments. Bangladesh's top-order batters have shown inconsistency in high-pressure T20 formats, though players like Nigar Sultana have demonstrated capacity for substantial innings. The 0% reading likely reflects this historical pattern rather than match-specific intelligence, as pre-tournament probability formation often relies on squad composition and recent form data.
Traders should monitor squad announcements closer to the fixture date, typically released 7–10 days prior, which may reveal injury absences or selection changes affecting either team's batting strength. Recent domestic T20 performances in both nations' domestic leagues through early 2026 will provide updated form indicators. Weather conditions at the venue on match day—particularly pitch behaviour and field dimensions—can materially influence whether explosive batting performances occur, though such details remain unavailable until nearer the scheduled date.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$333 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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