Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the NO side at 27%, making this a directional market with 113 days to resolution, giving the order book ample time to absorb new information, backed by $42K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake - winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Notre Dame | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Ohio St. | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Oregon | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Miami (FL) | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Indiana | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| Georgia | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Texas Tech | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Texas | 12% YES | 89% NO |
NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 25% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2027-02-09T04:59:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
World-affairs prediction markets price discrete geopolitical outcomes — ceasefires, treaty signings, leadership transitions — and tend to drift on rumour and snap-correct on official announcements.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://collegefootballplayoff.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 9 February 2027. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://collegefootballplayoff.com), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline - most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate - once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically - every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome - patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake - winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($42K of resting liquidity), a $200 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge - no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$45K in lifetime turnover and $42K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for cfb contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong - order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market - a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for 2 months - the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery - meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://collegefootballplayoff.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 February 2027. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake - there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon - a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition - historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship", the considerations above apply directly - Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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