Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 LaLiga season. Only assists recorded in LaLiga matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., Copa Del Rey, Supercopa de España, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Luis Milla | 18% YES | 82% NO |
| Arda Güler | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Federico Valverde | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Dani Olmo | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Giuliano Simeone | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Luis Rioja | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Vinícius Jr. | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Georges Mikautadze | 41% YES | 60% NO |
The 2025-26 LaLiga season will determine which player records the most assists across all domestic league matches through May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices this outcome at 18% implied probability, reflecting significant uncertainty about which individual will lead the division in playmaking. Only assists in official LaLiga fixtures count; contributions in cup competitions, European tournaments, and international matches are excluded from settlement.
Historical context shows that LaLiga's assist leader typically ranges between 10 and 15 assists per season, with the title frequently contested between attacking midfielders and wingers from the league's top clubs. Real Madrid and Barcelona players have dominated this category in recent years, though the distribution has broadened as other clubs strengthen their squads. The 18% probability suggests the market views this as a relatively open race without a dominant favourite, likely reflecting uncertainty around player availability, form, and tactical deployment across the season.
Traders should monitor squad composition changes during the summer transfer window, injury announcements for key playmakers, and early-season performance data once matches commence in August 2025. Managerial changes at top clubs could alter attacking patterns significantly. The resolution window closes 31 May 2026, giving the full season to play out, though any significant disruptions to the fixture schedule after that date would trigger alternative settlement procedures. Current betting markets on individual player assist totals will provide real-time calibration against the 18% crowd probability.
La Liga is a Spanish professional league for association football clubs. At the top of the Spanish football league system, it is the country's primary football competition and is contested by 20 clubs. The competition was formed in 1929, with an initial format of 10 teams.
The La Liga Awards, previously known as the LFP awards, are presented annually by the Liga de Fútbol Profesional (LFP) to the best players and coach in La Liga, the first division of association football in Spain. Established in the 2008–09 season, they were the first official awards in the history of the Spanish competition. La Liga's best coach and player
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://polymarket.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Flaliga-2nd-place-finish-j6GNm9XHzxul.png&w=256&q=75. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LaLiga: Most Assists" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $429 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for assist contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $154 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://polymarket.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Flaliga-2nd-place-finish-j6GNm9XHzxul.png&w=256&q=75. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram:
