Trade: NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Avalanche” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Playoffs Second Round series between the Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild. This market will resolve to “Wild” if the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Playoffs Second Round series between the Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $5K
- Total Volume
- $34K
- 24h Volume
- $2K
- Open Interest
- $20K
Market outcomes
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild | 79% YES | 22% NO |
Market context
The Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild are set to meet in the 2026 NHL Playoffs Second Round. The Polymarket order book currently reflects an 79% implied probability that Colorado advances from this series, pricing Minnesota at 21%. This probability spread reflects Colorado's stronger regular-season positioning and recent playoff track record, though the Wild remain a capable opponent in a best-of-seven format where variance plays a meaningful role.
Colorado has established itself as a perennial Stanley Cup contender, having reached the Finals in 2022 and maintaining competitive rosters through subsequent seasons. The Avalanche's depth at forward and their goaltending stability have historically translated to playoff success. Minnesota, conversely, has struggled to convert regular-season competitiveness into deep playoff runs, with the franchise's last Stanley Cup Finals appearance occurring in 1991. Historical matchups between these teams and their respective playoff pedigrees inform the current probability weighting, though second-round series outcomes remain inherently uncertain given the compressed timeframe and intensity of playoff hockey.
Traders should monitor roster health updates through late April and early May 2026, particularly regarding Colorado's key contributors and any late-season injuries affecting either team. The actual playoff bracket positioning and which team holds home-ice advantage will influence series dynamics materially. The settlement window closes 23 May 2026, creating a hard deadline; any series extending beyond that date or facing postponement triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent injury reports and team announcements closer to the playoffs will provide concrete data points for reassessing the current probability.
Wikipedia Context
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Stanley Cup playoffs
The Stanley Cup playoffs is the annual elimination tournament to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup, and the league champion of the National Hockey League (NHL). The four-round, best-of-seven tournament is held after the NHL's regular season. Eight teams from each of the league's two conferences qualify for the playoffs based on regular season points to
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2012 Stanley Cup playoffsThe 2012 Stanley Cup playoffs was the playoff tournament of the National Hockey League (NHL) for the 2011–12 season. It began on April 11, 2012, after the conclusion of the regular season, and ended on June 11, with the Los Angeles Kings defeating the New Jersey Devils in six games in the Stanley Cup Final to win their first Stanley Cup championship. Kings g
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2014 Stanley Cup playoffsThe 2014 Stanley Cup playoffs was the playoff tournament of the National Hockey League (NHL) for the 2013–14 season. They began on April 16, 2014, and ended June 13, 2014, when the Los Angeles Kings defeated the New York Rangers four games to one in the Stanley Cup Final. Prior to the season, the league realigned its teams into four divisions, and adopted a
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2015 Stanley Cup playoffsThe 2015 Stanley Cup playoffs was the playoff tournament of the National Hockey League (NHL) for the 2014–15 season. They began on April 15, 2015, and ended on June 15, 2015, with the Chicago Blackhawks defeating the Tampa Bay Lightning four games to two in the Stanley Cup Finals.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 79% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $127 if YES resolves true — a 27% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$34K in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for 2026 nhl playoffs contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current probability for "NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild "?
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 79%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild "?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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