Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Maria Corina Machado | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Nick Fuentes | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Kim Jong Un | 22% YES | 79% NO |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Xi Jinping | 99% YES | 1% NO |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Ali Khamenei | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Keir Starmer | 62% YES | 38% NO |
Donald Trump's schedule and diplomatic engagement in 2026 will determine whether he meets with a specified individual during that calendar year. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders assess a meeting as virtually certain. This pricing reflects either high confidence in Trump's accessibility and the individual's prominence, or the broad definition of "meeting" that encompasses any in-person interaction where both parties are present and engage.
Historical precedent shows Trump maintains extensive domestic and international travel schedules. During his 2017–2021 presidency, Trump met with hundreds of foreign leaders, business figures and political actors across formal state visits, summits and informal encounters. Post-presidency, his schedule has remained active though less institutionalised, with appearances at political events, rallies and private engagements. The certainty implied here suggests the market is pricing in either Trump's continued high-profile status or the individual's likelihood of crossing paths with him through ordinary political or business channels.
Traders should monitor Trump's announced travel plans, any scheduled political events or conferences where both parties might appear, and news regarding the specific individual's prominence or proximity to Trump's circles. Recent reporting on Trump's 2026 political activities and any formal engagements will shape whether conditions materialise for such a meeting. The settlement relies on credible reporting consensus, meaning documented evidence from established news sources will be required for resolution.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Who will Trump meet with in 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$407K in lifetime turnover and $175K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for world contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 6 months — long enough that the order book is mature and price is well-anchored to fundamentals.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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