Wll

Trade: California Palms vs. Maryland Charm

50% YES 50% NO

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming WLL game scheduled for May 29 at 8:30PM ET: If California Palms wins, the market will resolve to "California Palms". If Maryland Charm wins, the market will resolve to "Maryland Charm". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$15
Total Volume
—
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
—
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Market outcomes

California Palms vs. Maryland Charm 50% YES50% NO

Market context

The Women's Lacrosse League fixture between California Palms and Maryland Charm takes place on 29 May at 8:30PM ET, with settlement occurring by 6 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders perceive genuine uncertainty between the two sides. This even probability suggests neither team carries a clear statistical edge in the market's assessment, or that available information on roster strength, recent form, and head-to-head records remains balanced across the trading population.

WLL matchups at parity typically reflect competitive divisions where historical win rates cluster around 50 per cent, or where teams have limited prior meetings. Maryland Charm and California Palms likely occupy similar competitive tiers within the league structure. Markets at exact 50-50 often persist when sample sizes are small or when recent performance data is mixed, leaving traders without a decisive signal to shift probability in either direction.

Traders should monitor official WLL announcements regarding injury updates, roster confirmations, and any schedule changes through the league's communications channels. Weather conditions on game day—particularly relevant for outdoor lacrosse venues—can influence play style and scoring patterns. Postponement risk exists until the scheduled date; the market's resolution rules specify that postponed games remain open until completion, whilst cancellations or ties without make-up fixtures resolve 50-50. Any late-breaking roster news or coaching changes in the fortnight before play could shift the order book materially from its current equilibrium.

Wikipedia Context

  • California Almond Growers
    California Almond Growers

    California Almond Growers Exchange (CAGE) is a historical building in Sacramento, California, built in 1915. The first successful almond farmer owned cooperative was the California Almond Growers Exchange founded in 1910. The California Almond Growers Exchange working as group improved almond production and marketing. The Exchange helped develop machines pro

  • California Passage
    California Passage

    California Passage is a 1950 American Western film directed by Joseph Kane starring Forrest Tucker, Adele Mara and Estelita Rodriguez.

  • Washingtonia filifera
    Washingtonia filifera

    Washingtonia filifera, commonly known as the California fan palm, cotton palm or desert fan palm, is a flowering plant in the family Arecaceae, native to the far southwestern United States and northwestern Mexico. It typically grows 15–20 m (49–66 ft) tall and 3–6 m (10–20 ft) wide, with a sturdy, columnar trunk and waxy, fan-shaped (palmate) leaves. As a mo

  • Taxation in California
    Taxation in California

    Taxes in California are collected by state and local governments through a number of tax categories. In total, for fiscal year 2022, California state and local governments together collected an average of $10,319 per capita from residents, the third highest per capita collections in the nation, with the nationwide average being $7,109. California does not ha

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://thewll.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "California Palms vs. Maryland Charm" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$0 in lifetime turnover and $15 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for wll contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "California Palms vs. Maryland Charm"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://thewll.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "California Palms vs. Maryland Charm"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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