Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | 100% YES | 0% NO |
This market resolves based on whether the Hyperliquid (HYPE) token price, as reported by Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream, finishes at or above its level at 6:20 PM ET on 1 June 2026. The five-minute window captures intraday volatility in a relatively young perpetual futures and spot trading protocol that launched in 2023. Chainlink's oracle feed aggregates prices from multiple exchanges, filtering out outliers to establish a canonical reference point for settlement.
The current 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects extreme confidence in an upward or flat close within this narrow window. Such certainty in five-minute price movements is unusual and typically signals either thin liquidity in the order book itself or a market-wide conviction that downward movement is exceptionally unlikely. Historical precedent shows that ultra-short timeframe markets often exhibit wide probability swings as new information arrives or as traders adjust positions; the current reading warrants scrutiny of actual order depth rather than treating it as a reliable forecast of directional certainty.
Traders monitoring this market should track any scheduled announcements from Hyperliquid regarding protocol updates, exchange listings, or ecosystem developments that might influence trading volume or sentiment on 1 June. Broader crypto market conditions and Bitcoin's trajectory in the hours preceding the settlement window will likely drive HYPE's price action, as altcoins typically correlate with BTC momentum. The Chainlink feed's update frequency and any potential data delays should also be verified before settlement, as oracle latency occasionally affects resolution timing in short-window markets.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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