Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Hyperliquid's price movement over a five-minute window on 9 May between 9:55AM and 10:00AM ET will determine this market's outcome. The resolution hinges on Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream, which aggregates pricing from multiple sources rather than relying on a single exchange. This specificity matters: spot market prices and Chainlink's oracle feed can diverge during volatile periods or low-liquidity intervals, particularly in early-morning US trading hours when crypto volumes tend toward the thinner end of the spectrum.
Five-minute price prediction markets typically reflect short-term momentum and order flow dynamics rather than fundamental shifts. Historical precedent suggests that such tight windows rarely see directional conviction from informed traders, particularly when the current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for upside movement. This extreme skew often emerges from either technical selling pressure established the prior session or algorithmic positioning ahead of a known event. The absence of any meaningful YES-side liquidity indicates that market participants are either heavily net-short or simply uninterested in backing upside within this specific window.
Traders should monitor whether any announcements or ecosystem developments occur in the hours preceding 9:55AM ET on 9 May, though the compressed timeframe limits the practical impact of breaking news. Hyperliquid's native token activity, broader crypto market sentiment, and Bitcoin's early-morning trajectory will likely dominate price action. The settlement window extends to 14:00 UTC (9:00AM ET), providing several hours for price discovery before final resolution against Chainlink data.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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