Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Sramkova and Tara Wurth in the Makarska, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if Rebecca Sramkova advances against Tara Wurth. This market will resolve to 'Tara Wurth' if Tara Wurth advances against Rebecca Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Match O/U 23.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Set 1 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Rebecca Sramkova and Tara Wurth are scheduled to compete in a tennis match at Makarska on 3 June 2026, with the settlement window closing on 10 June. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating the market perceives near-equal winning chances for both players at this stage of pricing.
Sramkova, a Slovak player ranked in the WTA's mid-tier, has shown variable form across clay and hard courts, whilst Wurth, an Austrian competitor, operates at a similar ranking tier. Historical matchups between players of comparable ranking and surface preference typically settle near even odds when neither has established recent dominance. The 50-50 probability here reflects standard pricing for an evenly matched pairing where head-to-head records are either absent or split. Traders should examine whether either player has recent tournament results or surface-specific performance data that would justify movement away from parity.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of the tournament draw and any withdrawal announcements from either player in the week before competition. Injury reports, particularly those affecting clay-court mobility, could shift pricing materially. The six-day buffer between the scheduled match date and settlement deadline provides limited time for rescheduling if weather or other disruptions occur; matches delayed beyond 7 June without completion would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Monitor ATP and WTA official channels for any updates to the Makarska event schedule or player status changes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$216 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $216 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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