Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Paquet and Darya Astakhova in the Foggia, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Chloe Paquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya Astakhova | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Chloe Paquet and Darya Astakhova are scheduled to meet in the Foggia tournament on 5 June 2026. The match carries a 50-50 implied probability on Polymarket's order book, suggesting the crowd views this as a genuine toss-up. Settlement occurs on 12 June, allowing a seven-day window for completion; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold resolves the market to 50-50 split.
Paquet, a French player ranked in the 80s, has shown inconsistent form on clay courts, her preferred surface. Astakhova, a Russian competing under neutral status, sits outside the top 100 but has demonstrated competitive depth in ITF and lower-tier WTA events. Head-to-head records between players at this level often prove unreliable predictors; recent form, injury status, and draw positioning matter considerably more. The 50-50 split reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a lack of information—both players occupy a tier where upsets occur frequently and ranking points alone fail to capture match-specific dynamics.
Traders should monitor official Foggia tournament draws and any injury announcements in the week preceding 5 June. Surface conditions on clay, weather forecasts for Puglia, and late withdrawals can shift the probability meaningfully. Recent WTA Challenger results from both players in May 2026 will provide the most current form indicators. The early morning scheduled time (5:00 AM ET) may also influence player freshness and betting liquidity as the match approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya Astakhova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $767 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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