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Tennis

Trade: Makarska (Doubles): Kasintseva/Radivojevic vs Huergo/Jakupovic

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kasintseva/Radivojevic and Huergo/Jakupovic in the Makarska, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasintseva/Radivojevic' if the team of Kasintseva/Radivojevic advances against Huergo/Jakupovic. This market will resolve to 'Huergo/Jakupovic' if the team of Huergo/Jakupovic advances against Kasintseva/Radivojevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$36
Total Volume
$153
24h Volume
$153
Open Interest
$125
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Market outcomes

Makarska (Doubles): Kasintseva/Radivojevic vs Huergo/Jakupovic 31% YES69% NO
Completed Match 50% YES50% NO

Market context

Kasintseva and Radivojevic face Huergo and Jakupovic in a doubles match at the Makarska tournament, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Kasintseva/Radivojevic's advancement at 31% implied probability, suggesting the market favours their opponents as the likely winners. This pricing reflects real-time sentiment from traders positioning across the book, with the spread between bid and ask orders determining where that 31% sits at any given moment.

Doubles pairings at lower-tier ATP and WTA events show considerable volatility in outcomes, particularly when partnerships are newly formed or when players are stepping up from lower-ranked tournaments. Makarska typically attracts mid-ranking professionals and rising talent; historical data from comparable events suggests that unseeded or lower-seeded pairings can surprise, but established combinations with prior tournament success together tend to hold favourites' status. The 31% probability assigned to Kasintseva/Radivojevic suggests the market views them as underdogs, possibly reflecting either recent form concerns, lower combined ranking, or less proven chemistry as a pairing.

Traders should monitor any late withdrawals or schedule changes in the days before 3 June, as the settlement window extends to 10 June with a seven-day buffer for delays. Recent injury reports or ranking updates affecting either pairing could shift the order book significantly. Surface conditions at Makarska and any confirmed seeding announcements from the tournament organisers will also influence positioning, as clay-court specialists may see their odds adjust accordingly.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Makarska (Doubles): Kasintseva/Radivojevic vs Huergo/Jakupovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$153 in lifetime turnover and $36 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $153 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Makarska (Doubles): Kasintseva/Radivojevic vs Huergo/Jakupovic"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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