Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Susan Bandecchi and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Parma, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Susan Bandecchi' if Susan Bandecchi advances against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bouzas Maneiro' if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro advances against Susan Bandecchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Parma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 18% YES | 83% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Susan Bandecchi and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro are scheduled to meet in the first round of the Parma WTA tournament on 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Bandecchi's advancement at 18 per cent implied probability, reflecting substantial backing for the Spanish player. The settlement window extends to 21 May, allowing for a seven-day buffer should scheduling disruptions occur; any match that remains unresolved beyond that period triggers a 50-50 split.
Bouzas Maneiro has established herself as a consistent WTA competitor with a ranking trajectory that typically places her above Bandecchi on the professional circuit. Historical matchups between players of differing ranking tiers at clay-court events like Parma show that lower-ranked challengers secure upsets in roughly 15–25 per cent of encounters, depending on the ranking gap and surface affinity. Bandecchi's clay-court record and recent form will be material to assessing whether the 18 per cent probability adequately compensates for the baseline upset rate.
Traders should monitor entry lists and seeding announcements as the tournament approaches, which typically occur within two weeks of the event. Weather conditions at Parma in mid-May occasionally force schedule compression, potentially affecting player fatigue across consecutive rounds. Any late withdrawals or injury updates from either player's camp could shift the order book materially. Recent WTA scheduling patterns suggest matches proceed on schedule absent exceptional circumstances, making the 50-50 tie-break clause a low-probability tail risk rather than a primary settlement vector.
Santino Garsi da Parma was an Italian lutenist and composer of the late Renaissance period.
Susan Parvar is an Iranian actress. She is best known for her role as Farideh Parvar in the comedy television series Right on Point (2008). Parvar received a Hafez Award for her performance in Botox (2020).
Susan Parks is an ecologist at Syracuse University known for her research on acoustic signaling and the impact of ambient noise on communication in marine mammals.
Parma is an urban locality under the administrative jurisdiction of the town of republic significance of Usinsk in the Komi Republic, Russia. As of the 2010 Census, its population was 1,248.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Parma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$69 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $69 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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