Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Noelia Zeballos and Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau in the ITF Women Brasilia, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noelia Zeballos' if Noelia Zeballos advances against Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau. This market will resolve to 'Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau' if Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau advances against Noelia Zeballos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Brasilia: Noelia Zeballos vs Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Noelia Zeballos faces Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau in an ITF Women's circuit match scheduled for 3 June 2026 in Brasília. The 91% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects a significant favouring of Zeballos, who is the higher-ranked player in this lower-tier professional matchup. ITF events at this level typically draw players ranked between 400–800 on the WTA scale, where ranking differentials often prove decisive in predicting outcomes.
Zeballos, an Argentine player with consistent ITF circuit experience, has historically performed well in South American tournaments where travel logistics favour regional competitors. Beveraggi Lespiau, also Argentine, represents a domestic rival rather than an outsider, which somewhat narrows the typical ranking-based advantage. Historical ITF Women's matches between players of comparable ranking show upset rates around 15–20%, suggesting the current 9% probability for Beveraggi Lespiau sits within plausible bounds but leans heavily toward the favourite.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament draws and any late withdrawals, as scheduling changes or player injuries frequently affect lower-tier events. The settlement window closes 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for match completion or rescheduling. Recent ITF tournament reports indicate consistent scheduling adherence in 2026, though weather disruptions in Brasília during early June remain a minor consideration. Any announcement of player injury or withdrawal would substantially shift the current order book positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Brasilia: Noelia Zeballos vs Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$273 in lifetime turnover and $66K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $273 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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