Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yidi Yang and Yujia Huang in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Yujia Huang. This market will resolve to 'Yujia Huang' if Yujia Huang advances against Yidi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Yujia Huang | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Yidi Yang and Yujia Huang are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Wuning tournament on 26 May 2026. The match currently trades at 100% implied probability for Yang's advancement on Polymarket's order book, reflecting either extremely confident backing of Yang or minimal liquidity at current price levels. With settlement occurring by 3 June 2026, the market allows seven days for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that window triggers a 50-50 resolution.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier typically proceed as scheduled absent weather or injury complications, though fixture delays remain common in lower-tier professional tennis. Yang and Huang are both Chinese nationals competing on the domestic ITF circuit, where match completion rates exceed 90% historically. The 100% probability reading warrants scrutiny—such extreme prices often indicate thin order books rather than genuine certainty about Yang's superiority or match occurrence.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any injury announcements in the week preceding 26 May. Chinese domestic ITF events occasionally face scheduling adjustments due to venue or administrative changes, though these typically result in rescheduling rather than cancellation. Court conditions and weather patterns in Wuning during late May represent secondary considerations. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides reasonable protection against minor delays, though a trader entering at current odds accepts minimal margin for unexpected disruptions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Yujia Huang" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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