Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Willwerth and Nicolas Tepmahc in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Willwerth' if Benjamin Willwerth advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Benjamin Willwerth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Benjamin Willwerth vs Nicolas Tepmahc | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Benjamin Willwerth and Nicolas Tepmahc are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Monastir tournament on 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players are competing for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for Willwerth's advancement, suggesting near-parity in market expectations between the two competitors.
ITF Men's matches at this level typically involve players ranked outside the ATP top 200, where head-to-head records and recent form carry substantial weight in determining outcomes. Historical data from comparable ITF tournaments shows that markets pricing matches near 50-50 often reflect genuine uncertainty—either limited historical matchup data between competitors or comparable recent performance metrics. Willwerth and Tepmahc's career trajectories and current ranking positions would determine whether the current probability reflects genuine parity or represents an information gap that traders might exploit through deeper analysis of their recent tournament results and playing surfaces.
Traders should monitor several factors through the settlement window closing 10 June 2026. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled on 3 June remains critical, as ITF fixtures occasionally face cancellation or rescheduling due to weather or organisational issues. Any official announcements regarding player withdrawals, injuries, or court surface changes could shift the order book materially. Recent form updates from either player's performances in preceding tournaments would also influence market pricing in the days immediately before the scheduled fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Benjamin Willwerth vs Nicolas Tepmahc" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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