Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Matas Vasiliauskas and Patrick Schoen in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matas Vasiliauskas' if Matas Vasiliauskas advances against Patrick Schoen. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Matas Vasiliauskas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Matas Vasiliauskas vs Patrick Schoen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Matas Vasiliauskas and Patrick Schoen are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kayseri tournament on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture within the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 0% implied probability for Vasiliauskas, indicating traders are pricing in either a strong expectation of Schoen's victory or significant uncertainty about match execution.
ITF Men's events at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 500, where form fluctuates considerably and upsets occur frequently. Historical data from comparable ITF Kayseri tournaments shows that seeding predictions often prove unreliable, with lower-ranked qualifiers advancing at rates substantially higher than conventional expectations. The absence of mainstream media coverage for such matches means pricing often reflects limited information rather than consensus assessment of player capability.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and player entry lists as the May fixture approaches, particularly any withdrawal announcements that would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Weather conditions in Kayseri during late May could affect scheduling, whilst injury updates on either player would materialise through ATP or ITF official channels. The settlement window closes on 3 June, providing a narrow window for match completion; any delay beyond 7 June from the scheduled date without a decisive result would also resolve to 50-50, creating additional execution risk that the current pricing may not fully account for.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Matas Vasiliauskas vs Patrick Schoen" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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