Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Tsygourova and Stefania Bojica in the ITF Women Klagenfurt, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Tsygourova' if Katerina Tsygourova advances against Stefania Bojica. This market will resolve to 'Stefania Bojica' if Stefania Bojica advances against Katerina Tsygourova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Klagenfurt: Katerina Tsygourova vs Stefania Bojica | 71% YES | 29% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Katerina Tsygourova faces Stefania Bojica in the ITF Women's Klagenfurt tournament, with the match originally scheduled for 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability for Tsygourova's advancement, suggesting the market views her as a clear favourite in this lower-tier ITF event. Settlement occurs on 21 May, allowing a seven-day window for match completion; cancellations or unfinished matches default to 50-50 resolution.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level typically feature significant variance in player form and preparation. Tsygourova's current pricing advantage likely reflects either a ranking differential, recent tournament results, or head-to-head record favouring her over Bojica. Historical ITF Klagenfurt draws have produced occasional upsets, particularly when lower-ranked players arrive with specific preparation or when seeded players face unexpected resistance. The 75% probability suggests the market is pricing in Tsygourova as the stronger competitor without treating the outcome as predetermined.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament announcements for any withdrawal declarations, injury disclosures, or scheduling changes in the days preceding 14 May. Weather conditions in Klagenfurt during that period could affect surface play and match timing. Late-stage scratches or postponements remain the primary tail risk; the seven-day settlement window provides modest protection against minor delays but leaves exposure to extended cancellations. Current liquidity on the order book will determine execution costs for position adjustments as the match date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Klagenfurt: Katerina Tsygourova vs Stefania Bojica" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$81 in lifetime turnover and $529 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $81 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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