Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Tepmahc and Daniel De Jonge in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Tepmahc' if Nicolas Tepmahc advances against Daniel De Jonge. This market will resolve to 'Daniel De Jonge' if Daniel De Jonge advances against Nicolas Tepmahc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Nicolas Tepmahc vs Daniel De Jonge | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Nicolas Tepmahc and Daniel De Jonge are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Monastir on 24 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis event, with settlement contingent on a completed match result by 31 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero demand for Tepmahc at any price level, reflecting either minimal trader interest in this fixture or a consensus view that De Jonge represents the stronger proposition.
ITF Futures matches at this level typically feature significant uncertainty around player availability and form, particularly when competitors are ranked outside the top 500. Historical patterns suggest that matches involving players with limited recent tournament activity or those recovering from injury carry elevated cancellation risk. The 0% implied probability on Tepmahc warrants scrutiny—such extreme valuations often reflect thin liquidity rather than definitive information about relative playing strength. Without recent head-to-head records or current ranking data publicly available for both players, the market may be pricing in De Jonge's seeding or recent results rather than substantive performance differentials.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament schedules and player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 24 May, as lower-ranked events see frequent late scratches. Weather conditions in Monastir during late May could affect scheduling. Any updates regarding either player's participation in qualifying rounds or alternative tournaments would signal shifting probability. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, providing buffer for weather delays, though extended postponements would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Nicolas Tepmahc vs Daniel De Jonge" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$124 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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