Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Vasilisa Taranova and Mirjana Jovanovic in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 4:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasilisa Taranova' if Vasilisa Taranova advances against Mirjana Jovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Mirjana Jovanovic' if Mirjana Jovanovic advances against Vasilisa Taranova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Vasilisa Taranova vs Mirjana Jovanovic | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Vasilisa Taranova faces Mirjana Jovanovic in an ITF Women's tournament match scheduled for 29 May 2026 in Tsaghkadzor, Armenia. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of outcome; with settlement seven days away and sparse liquidity, the current price formation likely stems from a thin book with few committed positions. ITF Women's events at this tier typically draw limited speculative interest, particularly for matches involving players outside the top professional circuits.
Taranova and Jovanovic compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on recent form, surface adaptation, and head-to-head records. Taranova, a Russian player, has competed across multiple ITF tournaments with variable results; Jovanovic, from Serbia, similarly operates within the lower-tier professional structure. Historical ITF Women's matches at comparable prize levels show significant variance in seeding accuracy, with upsets occurring in roughly 25–35% of encounters depending on ranking differential. The absence of recent ATP/WTA-level data for either player means traders lack the granular performance metrics available for higher-profile fixtures.
Traders should monitor tournament confirmation closer to the scheduled date, as ITF events occasionally experience fixture changes or cancellations due to player withdrawals or scheduling conflicts. The Armenian venue and early morning ET start time (4:45 AM) may affect participation or broadcast coverage. Any withdrawal announcements or late-draw information released in the week preceding 29 May will be the primary catalyst for probability shifts. The settlement window closes 7 June, allowing a one-week buffer for delayed matches before the 50-50 resolution threshold applies.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Vasilisa Taranova vs Mirjana Jovanovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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