Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Franziska Sziedat and Elyse Tse in the ITF Women Oliva, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franziska Sziedat' if Franziska Sziedat advances against Elyse Tse. This market will resolve to 'Elyse Tse' if Elyse Tse advances against Franziska Sziedat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Oliva: Franziska Sziedat vs Elyse Tse | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Franziska Sziedat faces Elyse Tse in an ITF Women's event scheduled for 28 May 2026 in Oliva. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating traders are pricing this match with near-certainty toward one outcome or substantial confidence in match completion. At ITF level, such extreme probabilities typically emerge when one player holds a decisive ranking advantage, prior head-to-head record, or surface preference that the market has already priced in decisively.
ITF Women's matches at this tier show completion rates exceeding 95% when both players are active on the circuit, though withdrawals and late scratches do occur within 48 hours of scheduled play. Sziedat and Tse's recent tournament activity, ranking trajectories, and any recent injury reports would normally anchor the probability formation, but the current 100% reading suggests either the favourite's dominance is unambiguous or the market is treating match completion itself as near-certain. Historical ITF scheduling data indicates that delays beyond the seven-day threshold are uncommon for events in established venues.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications through early June for any withdrawal announcements, which typically arrive 24–72 hours before play. Surface conditions in Oliva during late May, player entry lists, and any ranking updates affecting seeding could shift market sentiment if they alter perceived competitive balance. The settlement window closes 4 June at 10:45 UTC, allowing only a narrow window for resolution if the match is delayed.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Oliva: Franziska Sziedat vs Elyse Tse" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$329 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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