Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Stamatova and Lidia Encheva in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 3:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Stamatova' if Julia Stamatova advances against Lidia Encheva. This market will resolve to 'Lidia Encheva' if Lidia Encheva advances against Julia Stamatova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Julia Stamatova vs Lidia Encheva | 19% YES | 82% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Julia Stamatova faces Lidia Encheva in a women's ITF tournament match at Kursumlijska Banja, Serbia, originally scheduled for 5 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Stamatova's advancement at 19%, reflecting substantial backing for Encheva. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity where the market has settled on a roughly 4.3-to-1 odds ratio favouring the Bulgarian opponent.
Stamatova, a Bulgarian player competing primarily on the ITF circuit, typically operates outside the top 300 rankings. Encheva, also Bulgarian, occupies a similar tier. At ITF Women's events, matches between players of comparable ranking and experience rarely show such pronounced probability skews unless one player carries recent form advantages or injury concerns. The 19% probability for Stamatova suggests traders perceive a meaningful edge for Encheva—either through recent tournament results, head-to-head records, or surface-specific performance data that has filtered into the order book.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament updates through the WTA's official channels and ITF databases for any withdrawal announcements, schedule changes, or surface condition updates prior to the 12 June settlement deadline. The seven-day delay clause creates a specific risk: if the match is postponed beyond 12 June without completion, the market resolves to 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome. Weather disruptions at Balkan venues in early June are not uncommon, making fixture confirmation a material catalyst. Any official injury reports or late withdrawals would likely shift the current probability substantially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Julia Stamatova vs Lidia Encheva" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$74 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $74 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: