Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Duru Soke and Deniz Dilek in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duru Soke' if Duru Soke advances against Deniz Dilek. This market will resolve to 'Deniz Dilek' if Deniz Dilek advances against Duru Soke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Duru Soke vs Deniz Dilek | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Duru Soke and Deniz Dilek are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Kayseri on 31 May 2026. The match is set for 3:00 AM ET, part of the lower-tier ITF circuit where both players typically compete. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability for a Soke victory, reflecting either minimal liquidity or strong conviction among early traders that Dilek will advance. With settlement occurring on 7 June 2026, there is a seven-day window for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome beyond that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
ITF Women's matches at this level carry inherent scheduling volatility. Court availability, weather delays, and player withdrawals are routine occurrences, particularly at regional tournaments in Turkey. Historical precedent suggests that matches scheduled in the early morning hours (3:00 AM ET corresponds to late morning local time in Kayseri) are less prone to cancellation than evening slots, though the ITF circuit remains less predictable than ATP or WTA events. The zero probability reading likely reflects sparse initial trading rather than definitive information about either player's form or fitness.
Traders should monitor ITF Kayseri draw confirmations and any player injury announcements in the week preceding 31 May. Recent ITF tournament reports typically surface on the WTA's official site and regional Turkish tennis federation channels. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides some cushion for delays, but matches that begin and end in retirement (rather than completion) resolve according to advancement rules, not match completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Duru Soke vs Deniz Dilek" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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