Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Shubladze and Hikaru Sato in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Shubladze' if Alexandra Shubladze advances against Hikaru Sato. This market will resolve to 'Hikaru Sato' if Hikaru Sato advances against Alexandra Shubladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ITF Wuning: Alexandra Shubladze vs Hikaru Sato | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Alexandra Shubladze and Hikaru Sato are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Wuning tournament on 27 May 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Shubladze's advancement, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme pricing suggests either overwhelming confidence in Shubladze's superiority or minimal liquidity at the current ask, leaving little room for contrarian positioning.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when one player carries a substantial ranking or seeding advantage. Historical precedent from comparable ITF events shows that markets pricing a single player at near-certainty often reflect pre-match information asymmetries—such as confirmed injuries, withdrawals, or substantial ranking gaps—rather than genuine match uncertainty. Shubladze's Georgian background and Sato's Japanese ranking history would need verification against current WTA or ITF rankings to assess whether the pricing aligns with objective form differentials.
Traders should monitor the official ITF Wuning draw confirmation and any player withdrawal announcements through the WTA or ITF official channels through to the settlement window closing on 4 June 2026. Fixture delays beyond seven days from the scheduled date trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail risk for those holding YES positions. Weather disruptions at the venue, late player withdrawals, or match suspensions that remain unresolved within the window represent the primary catalysts that could force resolution away from current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Alexandra Shubladze vs Hikaru Sato" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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