Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Max Schoenhaus and Mika Petkovic in the ITF Men Troisdorf, originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Schoenhaus' if Max Schoenhaus advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Max Schoenhaus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Troisdorf: Max Schoenhaus vs Mika Petkovic | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Max Schoenhaus and Mika Petkovic are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Troisdorf tournament on 31 May 2026. The match is set for 08:00 ET, with settlement occurring by 7 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for resolution, indicating traders are pricing near-certainty that the match will occur and produce a decisive outcome rather than cancellation, postponement beyond the settlement window, or retirement mid-match.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this level carry historical completion rates above 95%, with withdrawals and retirements typically concentrated among lower-ranked players managing injury or scheduling conflicts. Schoenhaus and Petkovic, both competing regularly on the ITF circuit, have demonstrated commitment to scheduled fixtures. The extreme probability skew reflects standard tournament infrastructure reliability at ITF events held in established European venues like Troisdorf, where cancellations due to weather or logistics are uncommon in late May.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and player injury announcements in the week preceding the match. The ITF publishes official entry lists and draws typically five to seven days before competition begins. Any late withdrawal by either player would trigger resolution under the 50-50 tie clause. Fixture delays beyond seven days without completion would similarly resolve to even odds. Current pricing suggests the market is discounting these contingencies as low-probability events, though weather disruption or unexpected player withdrawals remain the primary catalysts that could alter the settlement outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Troisdorf: Max Schoenhaus vs Mika Petkovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: