Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kasidit Samrej and Kunanan Pantaratorn in the ITF Men Nakhon Pathom, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Kunanan Pantaratorn. This market will resolve to 'Kunanan Pantaratorn' if Kunanan Pantaratorn advances against Kasidit Samrej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| ITF Nakhon Pathom: Kasidit Samrej vs Kunanan Pantaratorn | 96% YES | 5% NO |
Kasidit Samrej and Kunanan Pantaratorn are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's Nakhon Pathom tournament on 14 May 2026. Both players compete on the ITF circuit, which encompasses lower-tier professional and semi-professional tennis globally. The match carries a 51% implied probability for Samrej's advancement on Polymarket's order book, reflecting near-parity between the two competitors as traders have priced the contract today.
ITF circuit matches at this level typically involve players ranked outside the ATP top 500, where historical records and head-to-head data are sparse and often incomplete. Thai domestic ITF events specifically see variable participation and withdrawal rates; matches scheduled in the early morning hours (2:15 AM ET corresponds to afternoon local time in Thailand) occasionally face postponement due to weather or logistical factors. The 51% probability suggests the market has limited concrete comparative data on these players' recent form or direct history, with pricing reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than a strong directional view.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 14 May. Recent injury reports, travel disruptions, or late withdrawals from either competitor could trigger significant repricing. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, meaning delays without completion would resolve the market to 50-50, introducing additional risk for positions held through the tournament period.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Nakhon Pathom: Kasidit Samrej vs Kunanan Pantaratorn" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12 in lifetime turnover and $76 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $12 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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