Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Maties Torres Ramis and Daniil Sarksian in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maties Torres Ramis' if Maties Torres Ramis advances against Daniil Sarksian. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Sarksian' if Daniil Sarksian advances against Maties Torres Ramis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Maties Torres Ramis vs Daniil Sarksian | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Maties Torres Ramis, a Spanish ITF competitor, faces Armenian player Daniil Sarksian at the ITF Men's Tsaghkadzor tournament scheduled for 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Torres Ramis's advancement at 28%, implying Sarksian as the favoured outcome. This pricing reflects the relative rankings and recent form of both players within the ITF circuit, where Sarksian appears to hold a competitive edge based on the market's assessment.
ITF Men's tournaments at the Tsaghkadzor venue typically attract players ranked outside the ATP top 200, with outcomes heavily influenced by surface conditions and recent match fitness. Torres Ramis's 28% probability suggests the market views him as the underdog, likely reflecting a combination of ranking differential, head-to-head record if available, and recent tournament results. Comparable ITF matches at similar venues show that home-country advantage for Sarksian—competing in Armenia—can carry measurable weight in pricing, particularly when both players operate at similar skill levels.
Traders should monitor official ITF scheduling confirmations as the June settlement window approaches, given the market's 7-day delay clause. Weather conditions in Armenia during early June could affect court preparation and match scheduling. Any late withdrawals or injury announcements from either player would trigger immediate repricing on the order book. The settlement deadline of 10 June provides a one-week buffer beyond the scheduled date, meaning matches delayed within that window may still resolve to a winner rather than the 50-50 tie outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Maties Torres Ramis vs Daniil Sarksian" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$45 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $45 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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