Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lola Radivojevic and Lia Karatancheva in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lola Radivojevic' if Lola Radivojevic advances against Lia Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Lia Karatancheva' if Lia Karatancheva advances against Lola Radivojevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lola Radivojevic vs Lia Karatancheva | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Lola Radivojevic and Lia Karatancheva are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's tournament at Kursumlijska Banja on 27 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Radivojevic's advancement, suggesting near-certainty among traders that she will win the match. This extreme pricing typically emerges when one player holds a substantial rating advantage, has demonstrated recent form superiority, or when the matchup presents a clear technical mismatch. The settlement window closes on 3 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date for the match to conclude.
ITF Women's tournaments at this tier frequently feature significant disparities in player ranking and experience. Radivojevic, competing on home soil in Serbia, would benefit from familiarity with court conditions and reduced travel fatigue—factors that historically amplify expected performance gaps in lower-tier professional circuits. Karatancheva, a Bulgarian player, faces the dual burden of travel and a potentially unfavourable matchup. The 100% pricing reflects these structural advantages rather than absolute certainty; ITF matches remain subject to injury withdrawals, unexpected form fluctuations, and the inherent variance of single-set or best-of-three formats.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament announcements for any withdrawal declarations, schedule changes, or surface condition modifications in the week preceding 27 May. Weather disruptions in the Balkans during late May could trigger the seven-day delay clause, which would shift resolution to 50-50 if no winner emerges by 3 June. Confirmation of both players' participation status remains the primary catalyst affecting current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lola Radivojevic vs Lia Karatancheva" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$287 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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