Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Petkovic and Kaspar Mathes in the ITF Men Troisdorf, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Kaspar Mathes. This market will resolve to 'Kaspar Mathes' if Kaspar Mathes advances against Mika Petkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Troisdorf: Mika Petkovic vs Kaspar Mathes | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Mika Petkovic and Kaspar Mathes are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Troisdorf tournament on 27 May 2026. The match is set for 4:45 AM ET, part of the lower-tier ITF circuit where both players compete regularly. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for Petkovic, reflecting either strong conviction in his superiority or minimal liquidity at the current price. Settlement occurs by 3 June 2026, allowing a six-day window for the match to conclude.
ITF tournaments at this level typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 300, with outcomes heavily dependent on recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. Petkovic, a German player, and Mathes, a Swiss competitor, have both participated in multiple ITF events across European clay and hard courts. Historical ITF matches between players of comparable ranking often show tighter margins than the current 100% probability suggests, particularly when one player lacks a decisive recent record against the opponent. The extreme probability may indicate limited market participation rather than overwhelming evidence of outcome certainty.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 27 May, as ITF events occasionally see last-minute scratches due to injury or scheduling conflicts. Weather conditions at the Troisdorf venue could affect scheduling, potentially triggering the seven-day delay clause that would resolve the market at 50-50. Recent ITF results for both players, published on the ATP website and tournament databases, will provide the most current form indicators before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Troisdorf: Mika Petkovic vs Kaspar Mathes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$636 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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