Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Petkovic and Nino Ehrenschneider in the ITF Men Troisdorf, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Nino Ehrenschneider. This market will resolve to 'Nino Ehrenschneider' if Nino Ehrenschneider advances against Mika Petkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Troisdorf: Mika Petkovic vs Nino Ehrenschneider | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Mika Petkovic and Nino Ehrenschneider are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Troisdorf tournament on 28 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for Petkovic's advancement, suggesting either substantial backing for the German player or minimal liquidity in the market at present.
ITF Men's matches at this level historically show volatile probability distributions when liquidity is thin. Comparable fixtures on Polymarket often begin with skewed probabilities that shift materially once deeper order books form. Ehrenschneider's recent form, head-to-head record against Petkovic (if any exists), and surface preference on clay courts in North Rhine-Westphalia would typically anchor more balanced pricing. The 100% reading likely reflects limited trading activity rather than consensus conviction.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament confirmations and any withdrawal announcements through the official ITF website or ATP/WTA news channels in the weeks preceding 28 May. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts for the Troisdorf venue, and fitness updates on either player could shift market sentiment once additional participants enter the order book. The settlement window closes 4 June 2026, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled match date for completion or resolution under the 50-50 tie-break clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Troisdorf: Mika Petkovic vs Nino Ehrenschneider" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$278 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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