Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Oliver Ojakaar and Will Mayew in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Ojakaar' if Oliver Ojakaar advances against Will Mayew. This market will resolve to 'Will Mayew' if Will Mayew advances against Oliver Ojakaar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Oliver Ojakaar vs Will Mayew | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Oliver Ojakaar and Will Mayew are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Lakewood tournament on 28 May 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Ojakaar advancing, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme skew suggests either substantial pre-match information favouring Ojakaar or minimal liquidity at the current price, leaving the book vulnerable to movement if fresh trading activity emerges.
ITF Futures matches at the Lakewood level typically feature significant ranking disparities or fitness concerns that drive one-sided markets. Historical precedent shows that when ITF men's matches trade at such extremes, the outcome often reflects legitimate form differentials or recent tournament results rather than mispricing. However, the 100% reading warrants scrutiny—such prices occasionally indicate thin order books rather than genuine certainty, particularly for lower-tier professional events with limited spectator interest.
Key variables for traders monitoring this match include official confirmation of both players' participation, any last-minute withdrawals or injury announcements, and weather conditions at the Lakewood venue on match day. The settlement window closes 4 June 2026 at 17:00 UTC, allowing seven days for completion. Traders should track ITF tournament schedules and player social media for withdrawal notices, as cancellations or delays beyond the seven-day window trigger 50-50 resolution. Current pricing leaves minimal margin for contrarian positioning unless new information surfaces regarding either player's fitness or availability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Oliver Ojakaar vs Will Mayew" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$687 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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