Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Noel and Nahjime Dho in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Noel' if Chloe Noel advances against Nahjime Dho. This market will resolve to 'Nahjime Dho' if Nahjime Dho advances against Chloe Noel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Chloe Noel vs Nahjime Dho | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Chloe Noel faces Nahjime Dho in the ITF Women's tournament at Monastir, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match is set for 4:30 AM ET, an early start time typical of ITF scheduling. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for Noel's advancement, suggesting either substantial backing or minimal liquidity at present pricing. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny given the match has not yet occurred and both players remain active competitors.
ITF Women's matches at this tier historically produce closer contests than the current odds suggest. Noel and Dho are both ranked outside the WTA top 200, competing for ranking points in the ITF circuit. Historical data from comparable ITF tournaments shows that even heavily favoured players face genuine upset risk, particularly in early rounds where seeding advantages are modest. The 100% reading typically indicates either a sharp trader with private information, a data entry error, or insufficient market depth to establish competitive pricing.
Key catalysts for traders include confirmation of both players' fitness and travel status as the tournament approaches. ITF events occasionally experience last-minute withdrawals due to injury or scheduling conflicts. Weather conditions at Monastir in early June could affect court availability. Any official tournament updates or player social media activity regarding preparation should be monitored. The settlement window extends to 10 June, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for completion, though delays beyond that trigger a 50-50 resolution. Current pricing leaves no margin for uncertainty, making this market sensitive to any new information about either competitor's status.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Chloe Noel vs Nahjime Dho" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$347 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $347 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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