Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Mae Malige and Alessandro Mondazzi in the ITF Men Caltanissetta, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mae Malige' if Mae Malige advances against Alessandro Mondazzi. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Mondazzi' if Alessandro Mondazzi advances against Mae Malige. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caltanissetta: Mae Malige vs Alessandro Mondazzi | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Mae Malige faces Alessandro Mondazzi in an ITF Men's event at Caltanissetta, Sicily, scheduled for 2 June 2026. The match is a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability favouring Malige's advancement, suggesting the market views him as a substantial favourite to win the encounter.
ITF matches at this level typically feature significant variance in player form and preparation. Mondazzi's recent results, head-to-head record against Malige (if any exists), and current ranking trajectory would normally inform such a skewed probability. The 95% figure indicates either a pronounced disparity in player quality, recent form data favourable to Malige, or limited liquidity on the order book concentrating bets toward one side. Historical ITF upsets do occur, particularly when lower-ranked players face scheduling fatigue or injury concerns, though such outcomes remain statistically uncommon at this probability level.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP communications for any withdrawal announcements, injury updates, or scheduling changes prior to the settlement window closure on 9 June. Weather conditions in Sicily during early June could affect court conditions and match timing. The resolution mechanism includes a 50-50 tie outcome if the match is cancelled outright or delayed beyond seven days without completion, creating a tail risk distinct from the binary win-loss scenario currently priced into the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caltanissetta: Mae Malige vs Alessandro Mondazzi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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