Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Malaszszak and Isaac Becroft in the ITF Men Nakhon Pathom, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Isaac Becroft. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Becroft' if Isaac Becroft advances against Markus Malaszszak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Nakhon Pathom: Markus Malaszszak vs Isaac Becroft | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Markus Malaszszak and Isaac Becroft are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Nakhon Pathom, Thailand on 13 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with the winner advancing in the draw. Current order book activity on Polymarket prices Malaszszak's victory at 26 per cent implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that Becroft enters as the favoured outcome.
ITF Futures matches at this level typically see modest liquidity and probability shifts driven by player ranking movements and recent form rather than major announcements. Malaszszak, a Polish player, and Becroft, an Australian competitor, compete regularly on the ITF circuit where surface preference, recent match history, and head-to-head records shape expectations. The 74 per cent probability assigned to Becroft suggests the market views him as the stronger player in this pairing, though ITF tournaments frequently produce upsets given the competitive depth at this tier.
Traders should monitor player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 13 May, as injury or scheduling conflicts frequently affect ITF fixtures. The settlement window extends to 21 May, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for match completion. Any cancellation, tie result, or failure to complete play triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent ITF results for both players and any surface-specific performance data would provide context for reassessing the current probability as match day approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Nakhon Pathom: Markus Malaszszak vs Isaac Becroft" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$70 in lifetime turnover and $348 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $75 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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