Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf and Benjamin Willwerth in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf' if Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf advances against Benjamin Willwerth. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Willwerth' if Benjamin Willwerth advances against Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf vs Benjamin Willwerth | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| Completed Match | 52% YES | 49% NO |
Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf, a Tunisian player competing on the ITF Men's circuit, faces Benjamin Willwerth in the opening round of the ITF Monastir tournament scheduled for 5 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Makhlouf's advancement at 19%, reflecting a substantial underdog position. This probability reflects the market's assessment of relative ranking, recent form, and head-to-head dynamics between two lower-tier professional competitors. The settlement window closes on 12 June, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled match date for completion.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this level typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when one player holds a ranking or recent-tournament advantage. Comparable ITF Monastir fixtures have shown that unseeded or lower-ranked players advance roughly 20–25% of the time against higher-ranked opposition, though surface preference and recent match fitness materially shift these baseline expectations. Willwerth's implied 81% win probability suggests the market has identified concrete form or ranking differentials favouring him.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP Challenger tour announcements for any withdrawal, injury disclosure, or schedule changes in the days preceding the match. Court surface conditions at Monastir—typically clay—and recent tournament results for both players will become material as the event approaches. Any late-round exits or fitness concerns disclosed via tour communications could shift the order book meaningfully before the 5 June fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf vs Benjamin Willwerth" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$17 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $17 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: