Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Lukosiute and Karla Bartel in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Lukosiute' if Andre Lukosiute advances against Karla Bartel. This market will resolve to 'Karla Bartel' if Karla Bartel advances against Andre Lukosiute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Karla Bartel | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
André Lukosiute and Karla Bartel are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Monastir tournament on 28 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete primarily at ITF level rather than WTA main tour events. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Lukosiute's advancement, suggesting either significant market confidence in her prospects or minimal liquidity depth at the current price.
ITF Women's tournaments typically feature players ranked between 300–800 on the WTA rankings, with match outcomes heavily influenced by recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. Historical ITF fixtures at Monastir show variable upset rates; whilst higher-ranked players generally advance, clay-court tournaments in North Africa occasionally produce unexpected results due to travel fatigue and unfamiliar conditions. The absence of substantial pre-match betting activity on major sportsbooks suggests limited public interest, which often correlates with thinner prediction market liquidity and wider bid-ask spreads.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of both players' participation closer to the scheduled date, any withdrawal announcements due to injury or scheduling conflicts, and weather conditions in Tunisia that could delay or reschedule play. The settlement window extends to 4 June 2026, allowing seven days beyond the original date for completion. Traders should monitor ITF official draws and player social media for late withdrawals, which occur with measurable frequency at lower-tier events.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Karla Bartel" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: