Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kuznetsova and Anna Bazderova in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kuznetsova' if Daria Kuznetsova advances against Anna Bazderova. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bazderova' if Anna Bazderova advances against Daria Kuznetsova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Daria Kuznetsova faces Anna Bazderova in an ITF Women's event at Tsaghkadzor, Armenia, scheduled for 29 May 2026. The match is set for 2:30 AM ET, reflecting the tournament's local timing in the South Caucasus region. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a Kuznetsova victory, suggesting either extreme confidence in Bazderova or minimal liquidity establishing a baseline price. Settlement occurs by 5 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion before the market resolves to 50-50 in case of cancellation or delay.
ITF Women's tournaments at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the WTA top 200, with outcomes heavily dependent on recent form and surface adaptation. Kuznetsova and Bazderova's head-to-head record, if any exists, would be the primary historical reference point; absent that, their respective records on clay courts (Tsaghkadzor uses clay) and recent ITF results provide context for assessing the probability skew. Comparable ITF events in Eastern Europe show volatile pricing when player information is limited, particularly for lower-ranked competitors with sparse public match data.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements closer to the event date, as ITF scheduling changes occur frequently. Weather conditions in Armenia during late May could affect clay court play. Recent ITF results for both players, published through the WTA website or ITF databases, will clarify whether the current zero probability reflects genuine form disparity or simply illiquid market pricing awaiting fresh information.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$14K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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